NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU ARIZ
Points 61.4 94.2
Total Points   155.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 17.3
Points From Free Throws 9.8 21.3
Shooting NAU ARIZ
Field Goals Made 22.6 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 60.3
Field Goal % 37.6% 55.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 9.8 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 30.0
Free Throw % 69.2% 71.0%
Ball Control NAU ARIZ
Rebounds 25.7 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 13.0
Turnovers 13.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.9
Steals 4.7 9.3
Fouls 18.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU ARIZ
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 78.8
% of Possessions with NAU ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 18.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.5%
Turnover 17.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU ARIZ
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 17.1% 40.7%