NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU WEB
Points 68.3 76.6
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 17.7
Points From Free Throws 11.1 16.5
Shooting NAU WEB
Field Goals Made 25.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 54.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 11.1 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 22.5
Free Throw % 69.2% 73.6%
Ball Control NAU WEB
Rebounds 29.6 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.6
Turnovers 12.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.4
Steals 4.1 7.3
Fouls 16.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU WEB
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 67.9
% of Possessions with NAU WEB
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.2%
Turnover 17.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU WEB
Shot Blocked 2.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 24.9%