NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW KENT
Points 74.3 72.3
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 24.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 14.3
Shooting PFW KENT
Field Goals Made 26.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 55.6
Field Goal % 45.2% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 12.2 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 19.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.1%
Ball Control PFW KENT
Rebounds 31.8 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.1
Turnovers 10.6 13.6
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.5
Steals 7.6 5.4
Fouls 15.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW KENT
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 68.1
% of Possessions with PFW KENT
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.6%
Turnover 14.6% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW KENT
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 27.2%