NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW NEOM
Points 77.2 69.4
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 17.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 17.0
Shooting PFW NEOM
Field Goals Made 27.6 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 52.7
Field Goal % 46.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 12.1 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 22.7
Free Throw % 71.8% 75.0%
Ball Control PFW NEOM
Rebounds 32.1 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.1
Turnovers 9.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.9
Steals 7.1 4.8
Fouls 16.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW NEOM
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 66.5
% of Possessions with PFW NEOM
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 23.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 23.2%
Turnover 12.7% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.4% 21.8%