NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW MILW
Points 80.0 76.9
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 20.4
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.4
Shooting PFW MILW
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 58.1
Field Goal % 43.8% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 22.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.5%
Ball Control PFW MILW
Rebounds 32.4 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.7
Turnovers 8.8 14.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.8
Steals 7.9 4.5
Fouls 16.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW MILW
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 72.1
% of Possessions with PFW MILW
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.1%
Turnover 11.7% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW MILW
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 31.1%