NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW WIGB
Points 74.9 69.6
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 31.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 25.8
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.4
Shooting PFW WIGB
Field Goals Made 27.1 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 52.8
Field Goal % 46.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 17.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 71.5%
Ball Control PFW WIGB
Rebounds 31.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.7
Turnovers 7.9 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.8
Steals 7.7 3.7
Fouls 14.9 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW WIGB
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 63.1
% of Possessions with PFW WIGB
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 34.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 32.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.2%
Turnover 11.2% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 21.7%