NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW DETU
Points 81.3 65.9
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.0 16.8
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.4
Shooting PFW DETU
Field Goals Made 29.7 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 52.7
Field Goal % 49.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 18.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 74.1%
Ball Control PFW DETU
Rebounds 33.2 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.9
Turnovers 10.2 15.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.0
Steals 7.4 6.0
Fouls 15.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW DETU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 64.0
% of Possessions with PFW DETU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.0%
Turnover 14.0% 21.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW DETU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 21.7%