NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW CLEVST
Points 74.4 72.5
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 17.4
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.5
Shooting PFW CLEVST
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 59.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 18.9
Free Throw % 71.8% 65.8%
Ball Control PFW CLEVST
Rebounds 34.2 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 10.3
Turnovers 10.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.7
Steals 6.3 6.4
Fouls 14.2 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW CLEVST
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 71.8
% of Possessions with PFW CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.8% 19.5%
Turnover 14.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW CLEVST
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 28.3%