NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW CLEVST
Points 71.3 77.4
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.9
Shooting PFW CLEVST
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 59.9
Field Goal % 47.4% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 21.1
Free Throw % 68.7% 66.0%
Ball Control PFW CLEVST
Rebounds 33.1 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 11.1
Turnovers 15.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.3
Steals 6.0 7.7
Fouls 15.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW CLEVST
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 73.3
% of Possessions with PFW CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 24.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.7%
Turnover 21.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW CLEVST
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 30.9%