NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN LBSU
Points 73.8 76.2
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 18.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 20.1
Shooting CSN LBSU
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 60.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 28.1
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.5%
Ball Control CSN LBSU
Rebounds 38.6 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.4
Turnovers 13.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.5
Steals 6.3 8.1
Fouls 20.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lg Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN LBSU
Total Possessions 77.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 78.4
% of Possessions with CSN LBSU
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 27.0%
Turnover 17.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN LBSU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 30.5%