NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN UCI
Points 69.5 77.9
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 19.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 19.0
Shooting CSN UCI
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 59.1
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 44.6 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 25.0
Free Throw % 67.7% 75.7%
Ball Control CSN UCI
Rebounds 35.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.2
Turnovers 12.7 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 5.6 6.8
Fouls 19.5 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN UCI
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 74.4
% of Possessions with CSN UCI
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 22.0%
Player Fouled 23.8% 26.0%
Turnover 16.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN UCI
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 28.3%