NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN LBSU
Points 79.9 68.7
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 24.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 25.6
Points From Free Throws 16.9 19.2
Shooting CSN LBSU
Field Goals Made 28.1 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 49.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 12.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 26.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 16.9 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 25.3
Free Throw % 72.9% 75.9%
Ball Control CSN LBSU
Rebounds 38.6 28.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 21.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 7.2
Turnovers 11.5 15.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.8
Steals 7.3 5.4
Fouls 20.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Long Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN LBSU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 64.7
% of Possessions with CSN LBSU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 32.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 28.2%
Turnover 15.8% 20.8%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN LBSU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 38.9% 22.4%