NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN LBSU
Points 82.3 81.8
Total Points   164.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.9 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 27.2
Points From Free Throws 17.8 14.4
Shooting CSN LBSU
Field Goals Made 29.3 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 62.1
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 20.0
Free Throw % 66.2% 72.1%
Ball Control CSN LBSU
Rebounds 38.8 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.2
Turnovers 12.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.7
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 16.2 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Long Beach St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN LBSU
Total Possessions 79.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 74.3
% of Possessions with CSN LBSU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 24.3% 20.4%
Turnover 15.4% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN LBSU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 19.8%