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Cal St Nrdge vs. Air Force
Sat Nov 28, 2020
4:00pm ET
Las Vegas, NV
(Neutral Site)
Cal St Nrdge vs. Air Force: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Air Force by 3.5, Total Points: 143
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CSN | adv | AFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-10-0 | 10-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-0 | 6-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 3-13-0 | |
| Away | 14-4-0 | 7-8-0 |
Cal St Nrdge Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Stanford | +23.0 | L by 9 | +14.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Idaho | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Chicago St | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Life Pacific | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -14.0 | L by 10 | -24.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Miss Val St | -15.5 | W by 36 | +20.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Pacific | +3.5 | W by 11 | +14.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Colorado | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Bethesda University | -- | W by 38 | -- |
| 12/11 | Home | Utah Tech | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | UCLA | +17.5 | W by 4 | +21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Montana St | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Cal Poly | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Lg Beach St | +8.0 | W by 16 | +24.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Hawaii | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | UC Davis | +5.0 | L by 20 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | CS Fullerton | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | UCSB | -1.5 | L by 28 | -29.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | UC Riverside | +3.0 | L by 19 | -16.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -3.5 | L by 8 | -11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | UC Irvine | +13.0 | L by 5 | +8.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | UCSD | +10.5 | L by 21 | -10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | UC Riverside | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | UCSB | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | CS Bakersfld | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | UC Davis | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | CS Fullerton | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | UC Irvine | +7.0 | L by 25 | -18.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | UCSD | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Hawaii | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCSB | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Hawaii | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
Air Force Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Portland St | -6.0 | L by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | LIU | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Delaware | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | Lindenwood | -16.0 | W by 18 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Wm & Mary | -8.0 | W by 9 | +1.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Neb Omaha | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | VMI | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Portland | +4.5 | W by 22 | +26.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | TX-Arlington | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Utah St | +6.5 | L by 28 | -21.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nevada | +14.0 | L by 13 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | San Jose St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Colorado St | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | New Mexico | +10.5 | L by 19 | -8.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | W by 32 | +42.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Fresno St | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Wyoming | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Boise St | +12.0 | L by 38 | -26.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | San Diego St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Fresno St | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Jose St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | UNLV | +6.5 | L by 29 | -22.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | New Mexico | +18.5 | W by 1 | +19.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Boise St | +11.5 | L by 31 | -19.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Utah St | +17.5 | L by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Wyoming | +6.5 | L by 11 | -4.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Colorado St | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 26 | -11.5 |
| AFA -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2834 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Air Force won the game 1761 times (62.1%).
- The team like CSU Northridge won the game 1073 times (37.9%).
- The team like Air Force did better against the spread, going 1423-1368-43 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 14 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Air Force went 7-7 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -5.0 | -3.5 |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 03:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:49 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/28 02:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 01:35 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/28 12:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:20 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/28 10:38 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/28 10:20 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/28 07:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/27 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/27 08:29 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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