NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN CSB
Points 69.7 68.2
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 16.4
Points From Free Throws 19.7 17.0
Shooting CSN CSB
Field Goals Made 22.7 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 57.0
Field Goal % 44.4% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 19.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 29.1 23.3
Free Throw % 67.7% 73.0%
Ball Control CSN CSB
Rebounds 35.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.4
Turnovers 13.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 18.5 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: CS Bakersfld

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN CSB
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 71.7
% of Possessions with CSN CSB
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 21.0%
Player Fouled 28.3% 25.5%
Turnover 18.1% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN CSB
Shot Blocked 7.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 30.4%