NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN PAC
Points 82.4 65.4
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 48.4 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 21.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 16.9
Shooting CSN PAC
Field Goals Made 29.8 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.3
Field Goal % 50.9% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.2 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 17.3 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 25.9
Free Throw % 67.7% 65.1%
Ball Control CSN PAC
Rebounds 43.1 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 6.2
Turnovers 11.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.3
Steals 6.4 6.1
Fouls 21.2 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN PAC
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 68.5
% of Possessions with CSN PAC
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 28.3%
Player Fouled 23.2% 28.6%
Turnover 15.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN PAC
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 16.4%