NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN USC
Points 66.3 79.3
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.9
Shooting CSN USC
Field Goals Made 23.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 58.1
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 25.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 69.5%
Ball Control CSN USC
Rebounds 37.3 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.0
Turnovers 14.4 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.0
Steals 6.5 8.9
Fouls 19.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN USC
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 74.0
% of Possessions with CSN USC
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 21.0% 25.8%
Turnover 19.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN USC
Shot Blocked 10.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 27.5%