NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA USU
Points 71.5 79.4
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 18.8
Points From Free Throws 15.7 21.2
Shooting UTA USU
Field Goals Made 24.0 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.8
Field Goal % 41.1% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 29.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.5%
Ball Control UTA USU
Rebounds 34.3 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.4
Turnovers 12.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.0
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 20.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Utah St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA USU
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 71.6
% of Possessions with UTA USU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 21.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 28.0%
Turnover 17.3% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA USU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 25.8%