NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA GONZ
Points 71.7 85.5
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 48.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 19.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 17.3
Shooting UTA GONZ
Field Goals Made 24.2 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 59.2
Field Goal % 39.9% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 23.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.6%
Ball Control UTA GONZ
Rebounds 33.1 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.6
Turnovers 12.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.2
Steals 5.2 6.4
Fouls 17.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA GONZ
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 73.7
% of Possessions with UTA GONZ
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 20.9%
Player Fouled 21.3% 24.4%
Turnover 16.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA GONZ
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 33.2%