NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA LT
Points 70.0 72.2
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.8 20.1
Shooting UTA LT
Field Goals Made 22.1 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 54.1
Field Goal % 39.7% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 28.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 70.3%
Ball Control UTA LT
Rebounds 34.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.7
Turnovers 13.0 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.8
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 19.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA LT
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 71.9
% of Possessions with UTA LT
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 21.2%
Player Fouled 22.5% 27.0%
Turnover 17.9% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA LT
Shot Blocked 8.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 32.2%