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Neb Omaha at Miss State
Mon Nov 28, 2022
7:30pm ET
Starkville, MS
Neb Omaha at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 23.5, Total Points: 128.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEOM | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-14-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 11-9-0 |
Neb Omaha Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Doane | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | TX Christian | +26.5 | L by 22 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | North Texas | +14.5 | L by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Wm & Mary | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Lindenwood | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Air Force | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Mid-America Christian | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/27 | Home | York University (NE) | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/30 | Home | Bellevue | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 12/06 | Away | Texas Tech | +20.0 | L by 29 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Stetson | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cal Poly | -1.5 | L by 13 | -14.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 12/31 | Away | South Dakota | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | N Arizona | -2.5 | W by 26 | +23.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Idaho St | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | North Dakota | -3.0 | W by 18 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | N Dakota St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | S Dakota St | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Kansas City | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Denver | +5.5 | W by 19 | +24.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | St. Thomas | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | North Dakota | +4.0 | L by 21 | -17.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | N Dakota St | +3.5 | L by 2 | +1.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | South Dakota | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | S Dakota St | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Oral Roberts | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas City | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | St. Thomas | +7.5 | L by 27 | -19.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | North Dakota | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Denver | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -23.5 | Open | -24.5 | High | -25.0 |
| Last | -24.0 | Low | -23.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 361 games where the closing line favored the home team by 22.5 to 24.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 353 times (97.8%).
- The team like Nebraska Omaha won the game 8 times (2.2%).
- The team like Nebraska Omaha did better against the spread, going 180-178-3 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2894 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1420-1413-61 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 07:28 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:01 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:10 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:49 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:05 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:22 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:31 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:01 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:28 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:10 AM | -25.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:46 AM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 05:17 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:37 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:13 PM | -24.5 | -- | -- |
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