NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM MSST
Points 62.7 80.7
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 24.4
Points From Free Throws 14.7 14.3
Shooting NEOM MSST
Field Goals Made 21.3 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 56.2
Field Goal % 39.7% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 14.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 65.5%
Ball Control NEOM MSST
Rebounds 28.1 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.9
Turnovers 11.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.8
Steals 5.1 6.8
Fouls 15.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM MSST
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 70.2
% of Possessions with NEOM MSST
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 28.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.8%
Turnover 15.9% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM MSST
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 34.4%