NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM DRKE
Points 66.4 82.6
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 27.9
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.8
Shooting NEOM DRKE
Field Goals Made 22.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 56.5
Field Goal % 41.4% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 21.0
Free Throw % 75.0% 74.8%
Ball Control NEOM DRKE
Rebounds 30.9 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.9
Turnovers 10.0 8.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 1.5
Steals 4.6 5.3
Fouls 16.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM DRKE
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 69.3
% of Possessions with NEOM DRKE
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 22.9%
Turnover 14.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM DRKE
Shot Blocked 2.6% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 22.4%