NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM SIUE
Points 72.6 69.8
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 23.7
Points From Free Throws 19.7 13.1
Shooting NEOM SIUE
Field Goals Made 23.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 58.4
Field Goal % 44.9% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 19.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 17.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.2%
Ball Control NEOM SIUE
Rebounds 34.6 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.4
Turnovers 9.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.3
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 14.0 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM SIUE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 69.6
% of Possessions with NEOM SIUE
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 29.7%
Player Fouled 25.1% 20.3%
Turnover 13.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM SIUE
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.7%