NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA TLSA
Points 77.0 71.4
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 18.5 21.3
Shooting UTA TLSA
Field Goals Made 24.7 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 51.2
Field Goal % 43.5% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 18.5 21.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 28.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.6%
Ball Control UTA TLSA
Rebounds 38.6 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 7.1
Turnovers 14.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.7
Steals 7.0 7.3
Fouls 20.7 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA TLSA
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 68.9
% of Possessions with UTA TLSA
2 Point Attempt 34.2% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 24.7%
Player Fouled 23.7% 27.5%
Turnover 18.7% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA TLSA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 20.8%