NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM PFW
Points 69.4 77.2
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 30.1
Points From Free Throws 17.0 12.1
Shooting NEOM PFW
Field Goals Made 23.4 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 59.3
Field Goal % 44.4% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.0 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 16.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.8%
Ball Control NEOM PFW
Rebounds 34.8 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 6.7
Turnovers 12.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.6
Steals 4.8 7.1
Fouls 14.3 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM PFW
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.5
% of Possessions with NEOM PFW
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 33.6%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.8%
Turnover 17.3% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM PFW
Shot Blocked 4.4% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 19.4%