NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM CSU
Points 71.4 82.2
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 27.2
Points From Free Throws 8.7 15.3
Shooting NEOM CSU
Field Goals Made 27.6 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 58.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 8.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 22.6
Free Throw % 70.4% 67.6%
Ball Control NEOM CSU
Rebounds 32.7 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.4
Steals 5.2 5.3
Fouls 16.7 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Colorado St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM CSU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 71.7
% of Possessions with NEOM CSU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 27.2%
Player Fouled 16.1% 22.8%
Turnover 14.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM CSU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 27.0%