NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM WICH
Points 67.5 75.4
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 19.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.1
Shooting NEOM WICH
Field Goals Made 23.5 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 58.7
Field Goal % 39.9% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 17.4
Free Throw % 75.0% 69.7%
Ball Control NEOM WICH
Rebounds 32.9 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.4
Turnovers 8.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 13.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM WICH
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 69.6
% of Possessions with NEOM WICH
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 23.2%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.9%
Turnover 12.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM WICH
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 28.1%