NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA UTRGV
Points 84.2 66.7
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 14.9
Points From Free Throws 17.0 19.8
Shooting UTA UTRGV
Field Goals Made 29.5 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 54.2
Field Goal % 50.3% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.3% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 17.0 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 27.8
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.1%
Ball Control UTA UTRGV
Rebounds 41.1 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.8
Turnovers 14.2 13.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.2
Steals 7.1 7.0
Fouls 19.7 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA UTRGV
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 70.5
% of Possessions with UTA UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 20.0%
Player Fouled 22.8% 25.7%
Turnover 18.6% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA UTRGV
Shot Blocked 4.1% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 20.9%