NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT WIS
Points 67.2 73.4
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 21.3
Points From Free Throws 11.9 16.3
Shooting UNT WIS
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 52.6
Field Goal % 45.7% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 11.9 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 21.8
Free Throw % 75.1% 75.1%
Ball Control UNT WIS
Rebounds 27.7 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.8
Turnovers 10.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.2
Steals 5.1 5.9
Fouls 17.0 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT WIS
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 65.9
% of Possessions with UNT WIS
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 25.2%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.9%
Turnover 15.5% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT WIS
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 32.1%