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North Texas at Miss State
Fri Dec 4, 2020
8:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
North Texas at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 4, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNT | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-13-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
North Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | N Iowa | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Neb Omaha | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | St Johns | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | LSU | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Angelo State | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 12/02 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Fordham | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | TX-Arlington | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | LSU Shreveport | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 01/04 | Away | Wichita St | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Tulane | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Temple | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | E Carolina | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Charlotte | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +9.5 | L by 3 | +6.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UAB | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Florida | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tulsa | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | S Methodist | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | UAB | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | UTSA | -14.0 | L by 2 | -16.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | E Carolina | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Fla Atlantic | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Rice | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Tulane | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/19 | Away | LSU | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Seton Hall | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -4.0 | Open | -3.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2786 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 1797 times (64.5%).
- The team like North Texas won the game 989 times (35.5%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1389-1327-70 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 42 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Texas did better against the spread, going 23-19 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -3.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 07:55 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/04 06:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/04 05:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:59 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:29 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/04 11:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/04 09:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/04 09:25 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/04 08:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:16 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:58 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 11:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/03 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/03 09:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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