NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT DRKE
Points 69.1 73.0
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 23.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.5
Shooting UNT DRKE
Field Goals Made 24.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 20.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 74.8%
Ball Control UNT DRKE
Rebounds 32.7 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.6
Turnovers 10.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.9
Steals 5.9 5.6
Fouls 15.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT DRKE
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 65.9
% of Possessions with UNT DRKE
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 20.0% 23.1%
Turnover 14.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 24.2%