NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT LT
Points 65.1 65.8
Total Points   130.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 18.9
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.2
Shooting UNT LT
Field Goals Made 21.8 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 51.8
Field Goal % 38.9% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 23.0
Free Throw % 75.1% 70.3%
Ball Control UNT LT
Rebounds 31.9 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.8
Turnovers 9.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.0
Steals 6.7 6.0
Fouls 15.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT LT
Total Possessions 66.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 66.5
% of Possessions with UNT LT
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 21.8%
Player Fouled 19.6% 23.6%
Turnover 14.4% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT LT
Shot Blocked 9.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 34.7%