NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT OKST
Points 69.5 66.9
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.4
Shooting UNT OKST
Field Goals Made 25.7 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 50.8
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 20.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.2%
Ball Control UNT OKST
Rebounds 32.3 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.9
Turnovers 9.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.1
Steals 7.9 5.6
Fouls 14.9 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT OKST
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 63.5
% of Possessions with UNT OKST
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 28.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.4%
Turnover 14.4% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT OKST
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 28.4%