NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).
Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT OKST
Points 64.3 63.2
Total Points   127.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 24.2
Points From Free Throws 10.9 10.6
Shooting UNT OKST
Field Goals Made 22.8 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 54.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.4% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 10.9 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 16.8
Free Throw % 81.9% 63.1%
Ball Control UNT OKST
Rebounds 36.1 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.3
Turnovers 10.8 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.3
Steals 5.6 5.7
Fouls 15.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT OKST
Total Possessions 65.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 65.2
% of Possessions with UNT OKST
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 31.9%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.8%
Turnover 16.5% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT OKST
Shot Blocked 4.3% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 26.0%