NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT FIU
Points 78.5 63.4
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 10.8
Shooting UNT FIU
Field Goals Made 27.1 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 55.2
Field Goal % 48.6% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 46.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 14.6 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 16.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 65.0%
Ball Control UNT FIU
Rebounds 39.0 28.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 18.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.2
Turnovers 13.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.5
Steals 6.7 8.2
Fouls 13.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT FIU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 65.7
% of Possessions with UNT FIU
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 28.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 18.9% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT FIU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 39.7% 25.7%