NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT UTA
Points 71.4 69.2
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 24.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.9
Shooting UNT UTA
Field Goals Made 23.4 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 51.2
Field Goal % 42.5% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.9
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.6%
Ball Control UNT UTA
Rebounds 32.0 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.8
Turnovers 11.0 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.9
Steals 7.1 6.2
Fouls 16.9 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT UTA
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 66.0
% of Possessions with UNT UTA
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 27.9%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.4%
Turnover 15.9% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT UTA
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 33.4%