NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT RICE
Points 75.0 65.2
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 30.9
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 21.6
Points From Free Throws 11.3 12.6
Shooting UNT RICE
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 52.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 42.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 18.2
Free Throw % 75.1% 69.2%
Ball Control UNT RICE
Rebounds 35.0 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.2
Turnovers 8.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.8
Steals 7.2 4.8
Fouls 14.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT RICE
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 64.1
% of Possessions with UNT RICE
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 26.7%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.2%
Turnover 12.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT RICE
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 27.8%