NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT MRSH
Points 71.3 68.1
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 24.2
Points From Free Throws 11.2 10.9
Shooting UNT MRSH
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 56.7
Field Goal % 44.8% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 11.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 15.4
Free Throw % 75.3% 71.0%
Ball Control UNT MRSH
Rebounds 36.4 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.8
Turnovers 12.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.6
Steals 6.5 6.5
Fouls 13.5 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT MRSH
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 66.2
% of Possessions with UNT MRSH
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.5%
Turnover 17.4% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT MRSH
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 22.7%