NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNT MRSH
Points 73.3 65.4
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.9
Shooting UNT MRSH
Field Goals Made 25.4 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 57.8
Field Goal % 43.0% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 16.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.7%
Ball Control UNT MRSH
Rebounds 37.8 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.6
Turnovers 9.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.4
Steals 7.0 6.1
Fouls 13.1 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNT MRSH
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 68.6
% of Possessions with UNT MRSH
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.6% 19.1%
Turnover 14.2% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNT MRSH
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 28.2%