NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY BUCK
Points 62.8 67.5
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 23.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 12.0
Shooting NAVY BUCK
Field Goals Made 21.0 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 50.7
Field Goal % 36.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 17.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.3%
Ball Control NAVY BUCK
Rebounds 34.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 8.3
Turnovers 8.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 5.4 4.3
Fouls 15.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY BUCK
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 61.6
% of Possessions with NAVY BUCK
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 31.3%
Player Fouled 24.8% 24.3%
Turnover 12.9% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY BUCK
Shot Blocked 8.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 27.9%