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Navy at Virginia
Tue Nov 9, 2021
9:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Navy at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 15.5, Total Points: 120.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NAVY | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-16-2 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-12-2 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-1 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 6-9-1 | 7-10-0 |
Navy Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Campbell | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Temple | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | UCSD | +9.0 | L by 18 | -9.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | San Diego | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | VMI | -4.0 | W by 20 | +16.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Coppin St | -9.0 | W by 23 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | +11.5 | L by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Quinnipiac | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Washington College | -- | W by 58 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Youngs St | +10.5 | L by 10 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Wm & Mary | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Boston U | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Colgate | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Holy Cross | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Lafayette | +1.5 | L by 16 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Lehigh | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Army | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Bucknell | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Loyola-MD | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Lehigh | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Colgate | +11.0 | L by 24 | -13.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Bucknell | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Army | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | American | -2.0 | L by 17 | -19.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston U | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Loyola-MD | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Holy Cross | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Lafayette | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | American | +7.5 | W by 6 | +13.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Loyola-MD | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Boston U | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -15.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 922 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 858 times (93.1%).
- The team like Navy won the game 64 times (6.9%).
- The team like Navy did better against the spread, going 471-437-14 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2716 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1346-1318-52 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/09 08:17 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 07:02 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 06:20 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 05:20 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 04:41 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 02:56 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 02:08 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 01:20 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 12:26 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:47 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:02 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
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