NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY LIB
Points 63.9 75.0
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 27.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 10.7
Shooting NAVY LIB
Field Goals Made 23.4 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 53.3
Field Goal % 41.9% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 65.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 12.6 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 64.5%
Ball Control NAVY LIB
Rebounds 31.3 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.1
Turnovers 9.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.2
Steals 4.6 3.5
Fouls 16.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY LIB
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 63.5
% of Possessions with NAVY LIB
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 34.1%
Player Fouled 22.9% 24.5%
Turnover 13.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY LIB
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 24.2%