NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY LAF
Points 61.8 64.9
Total Points   126.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 20.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 10.3
Shooting NAVY LAF
Field Goals Made 20.5 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 53.7
Field Goal % 35.7% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 38.3% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 15.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 68.2%
Ball Control NAVY LAF
Rebounds 36.9 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 8.2
Turnovers 9.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.8
Steals 5.2 4.4
Fouls 14.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY LAF
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 63.3
% of Possessions with NAVY LAF
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 23.8% 21.8%
Turnover 13.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY LAF
Shot Blocked 10.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 25.3%