NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY WVU
Points 64.7 78.2
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 17.1
Shooting NAVY WVU
Field Goals Made 22.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 50.6
Field Goal % 36.9% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 62.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 24.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.4%
Ball Control NAVY WVU
Rebounds 31.3 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 8.5
Turnovers 9.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.7
Steals 5.9 3.3
Fouls 18.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY WVU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 65.8
% of Possessions with NAVY WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 20.7% 27.3%
Turnover 13.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY WVU
Shot Blocked 9.4% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 30.2%