NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAVY BU
Points 63.5 67.3
Total Points   130.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.4 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 22.0
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.4
Shooting NAVY BU
Field Goals Made 20.8 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 52.4
Field Goal % 38.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 18.5
Free Throw % 71.0% 72.2%
Ball Control NAVY BU
Rebounds 32.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.2
Turnovers 9.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.4
Steals 5.5 4.5
Fouls 15.5 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Boston U

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAVY BU
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 64.3
% of Possessions with NAVY BU
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 28.5%
Player Fouled 25.7% 23.3%
Turnover 13.5% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAVY BU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 28.7%