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TX El Paso at Middle Tenn
Thu Feb 2, 2023
9:00pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
TX El Paso at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Middle Tennessee St. by 4, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-1 | 11-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 9-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-10-1 | 2-14-0 |
TX El Paso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | McMurry | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | Univ. of Science and Arts (OK) | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/13 | Home | UCSB | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Austin Peay | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | California | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Bradley | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -13.5 | L by 4 | -17.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Oregon | +13.0 | L by 22 | -9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Abl Christian | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Wyoming | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Seattle | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | N Mex State | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Chicago St | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | W Kentucky | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | LA Tech | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Mex State | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Middle Tenn | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Sam Hous St | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Jksnville St | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Liberty | +9.0 | W by 16 | +25.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Florida Intl | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | W Carolina | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Milligan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/21 | Home | UAB | -1.0 | L by 1 | -2.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | L by 30 | -33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Ohio | +4.0 | L by 12 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Kansas City | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Wofford | -8.0 | L by 10 | -18.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Missouri St | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Belmont | -2.0 | L by 10 | -12.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | St Marys | +15.0 | L by 37 | -22.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | S Utah | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Murray St | +4.5 | L by 21 | -16.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Reinhardt | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.0 | L by 9 | -8.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | TX El Paso | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | N Mex State | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Jksnville St | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Florida Intl | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Liberty | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | N Mex State | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Jksnville St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Sam Hous St | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 8 | +13.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | LA Tech | +13.0 | L by 14 | -1.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | LA Tech | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 31 | -25.0 |
| MTU -4.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3489 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. won the game 2224 times (63.7%).
- The team like Texas-El Paso won the game 1265 times (36.3%).
- The team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 1718-1689-82 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 300 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee St. did better against the spread, going 155-138-7 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/02 08:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 08:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 07:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 07:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 06:21 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 05:53 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 05:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/02 04:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 01:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/02 01:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 12:40 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 11:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/02 10:02 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 09:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/02 08:07 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 11:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 10:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/01 10:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/01 09:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 09:13 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/01 05:53 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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