NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP KU
Points 60.0 78.2
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.1 47.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 13.5
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.6
Shooting UTEP KU
Field Goals Made 20.1 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 49.7
Field Goal % 36.2% 56.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 38.6% 65.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 13.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 24.6
Free Throw % 68.0% 71.4%
Ball Control UTEP KU
Rebounds 27.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 18.3 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 7.6
Turnovers 13.8 15.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.4
Steals 9.7 7.7
Fouls 17.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP KU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 65.4
% of Possessions with UTEP KU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 16.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 24.0%
Turnover 18.9% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 13.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP KU
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 29.3%