NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP UNT
Points 60.6 68.9
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 18.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.8
Shooting UTEP UNT
Field Goals Made 20.1 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 49.1 48.2
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 22.4
Free Throw % 68.0% 75.1%
Ball Control UTEP UNT
Rebounds 28.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.5
Turnovers 14.4 14.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 9.7 7.6
Fouls 16.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP UNT
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 62.8
% of Possessions with UTEP UNT
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 21.3%
Player Fouled 23.9% 24.0%
Turnover 21.1% 21.8%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 14.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP UNT
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 33.4%