NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP UTSA
Points 74.8 73.8
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 20.8
Points From Free Throws 16.7 20.0
Shooting UTEP UTSA
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 52.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 28.1
Free Throw % 68.0% 71.1%
Ball Control UTEP UTSA
Rebounds 33.2 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.8
Turnovers 10.7 14.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.6
Steals 8.9 5.2
Fouls 18.2 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP UTSA
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 70.7
% of Possessions with UTEP UTSA
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 24.8%
Player Fouled 22.7% 24.4%
Turnover 14.4% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP UTSA
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 31.7%