NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MASS FOR
Points 73.4 68.6
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 22.4
Points From Free Throws 19.6 15.6
Shooting MASS FOR
Field Goals Made 24.3 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 58.9
Field Goal % 45.6% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 19.6 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 23.2
Free Throw % 68.2% 67.2%
Ball Control MASS FOR
Rebounds 37.8 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 13.3
Turnovers 12.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.2
Steals 6.0 7.1
Fouls 16.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MASS FOR
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.8
% of Possessions with MASS FOR
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 26.5% 23.2%
Turnover 16.6% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MASS FOR
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 33.0%