NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MASS RICH
Points 68.1 69.3
Total Points   137.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 20.4
Points From Free Throws 12.5 13.5
Shooting MASS RICH
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 54.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.5 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.9
Free Throw % 68.2% 71.6%
Ball Control MASS RICH
Rebounds 40.1 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 5.6
Turnovers 9.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.3
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 15.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MASS RICH
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 65.8
% of Possessions with MASS RICH
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 25.1%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.6%
Turnover 14.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MASS RICH
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 16.9%