NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT LIP
Points 83.0 79.6
Total Points   162.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.5 32.3
Points From Free Throws 10.0 11.0
Shooting CHAT LIP
Field Goals Made 30.6 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 62.8
Field Goal % 49.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 14.2
Free Throw % 75.3% 77.5%
Ball Control CHAT LIP
Rebounds 37.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.0
Turnovers 10.6 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.9
Steals 4.4 6.1
Fouls 13.0 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chattanooga

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT LIP
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.8
% of Possessions with CHAT LIP
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 37.6% 34.4%
Player Fouled 15.2% 18.2%
Turnover 14.8% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT LIP
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 19.7%