NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHAT ETSU
Points 74.4 71.8
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 28.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 13.2
Shooting CHAT ETSU
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 64.1
Field Goal % 44.4% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.0 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 15.5 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 66.1%
Ball Control CHAT ETSU
Rebounds 37.2 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 14.9
Turnovers 11.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.9
Steals 5.4 7.1
Fouls 13.7 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHAT ETSU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 76.8
% of Possessions with CHAT ETSU
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 33.0%
Player Fouled 22.1% 19.4%
Turnover 16.6% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHAT ETSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 34.4%